The news that Kona Grill, Inc. went bankrupt was tough to digest for many risk professionals - but not CreditRiskMonitor subscribers, who would have been aware of the restaurant chain's financial struggles for years.
With a FRISK® score of "1" at the time of their Chapter 11 filing, it was a signal that there was up to a 50% chance of bankruptcy within a 12-month horizon:
This Bankruptcy Case Study will investigate the causes of Kona Grill's financial peril, including a deep dive into quarterly performance and leverage ratios, peer analysis on alternate suppliers and customers, rates of return and much more. It's just a sample of the unique breakdowns our staff can prepare on demand for subscribers to our CreditRiskMonitor services.
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Our FRISK® score model incorporates four powerful risk inputs:
- “Merton”-type model of stock market capitalization and volatility
- Financial ratios, including those used in the Altman Z”-Score Model
- Agency ratings
- Website click pattern data from CreditRiskMonitor® subscribers, representing key credit decision-makers at nearly 40% of current Fortune 1000 companies plus thousands of other large companies worldwide
Since the start of 2017, the FRISK® score’s rate of success in capturing public company bankruptcy is 96%. In any given year, you can count on one hand the times we miss – and in those outlier cases, the circumstances deal with unusual, unforeseen events such as natural disasters and CEO fraud.
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About Bankruptcy Case Studies
CreditRiskMonitor® Bankruptcy Case Studies provide post-filing analyses of public company bankruptcies. Our case studies educate subscribers about methods they can apply to assess bankruptcy risk using our proprietary FRISK® score, robust financial database, and timely news alerts.
In nearly every case, a low FRISK® score gave our subscribers early warning of financial distress within a one-year time horizon. Our proprietary FRISK® score predicts bankruptcy risk at public companies with 96% accuracy. The score is formulated by a number of indicators including stock market capitalization and volatility, financial ratios, agency ratings, and crowdsourced behavioral data from a subscriber group that includes nearly 40% of the Fortune 1000 and thousands more worldwide.
Whether you are new to credit analysis or have decades of experience under your belt, CreditRiskMonitor® Bankruptcy Case Studies offer unique insights into the business and financial decline that precedes bankruptcy.