Houston-based Halcón Resources Corporation is the latest North American energy company to meet bankruptcy in 2019. Their weak liquidity, lack of working capital and excessive corporate overhead all ultimately proved too much to keep Chapter 11 at bay. The company ultimately filed on Aug. 7.
CreditRiskMonitor’s FRISK® score had been warning of financial stress at Halcón Resources Corporation for more than a year:
This Bankruptcy Case Study will take you through the company's decline and identify the timeline of key events. As with many energy sector bankruptcies, Halcón Resources Corporation's decline was swift but not surprising if you were honed in on the FRISK® score, which measures bankruptcy risk in U.S. public companies with 96% accuracy.
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Our FRISK® score model incorporates four powerful risk inputs:
- “Merton”-type model of stock market capitalization and volatility
- Financial ratios, including those used in the Altman Z”-Score Model
- Agency ratings
- Website click pattern data from CreditRiskMonitor® subscribers, representing key credit decision-makers at nearly 40% of current Fortune 1000 companies plus thousands of other large companies worldwide
Since the start of 2017, the FRISK® score’s rate of success in capturing public company bankruptcy is 96%. In any given year, you can count on one hand the times we miss – and in those outlier cases, the circumstances deal with unusual, unforeseen events such as natural disasters and CEO fraud.
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About Bankruptcy Case Studies
CreditRiskMonitor® Bankruptcy Case Studies provide post-filing analyses of public company bankruptcies. Our case studies educate subscribers about methods they can apply to assess bankruptcy risk using our proprietary FRISK® score, robust financial database, and timely news alerts.
In nearly every case, a low FRISK® score gave our subscribers early warning of financial distress within a one-year time horizon. Our proprietary FRISK® score predicts bankruptcy risk at public companies with 96% accuracy. The score is formulated by a number of indicators including stock market capitalization and volatility, financial ratios, agency ratings, and crowdsourced behavioral data from a subscriber group that includes nearly 40% of the Fortune 1000 and thousands more worldwide.
Whether you are new to credit analysis or have decades of experience under your belt, CreditRiskMonitor® Bankruptcy Case Studies offer unique insights into the business and financial decline that precedes bankruptcy.